Governer of india belives in a significant crisis situation

D Subbarao, Governor of the Reserve bank
of India, believes we are in a significant crisis situation and said the situation in the distant future is uncertain.

Subbarao expects banks to cut lending rates soon. He believes all measures taken by the RBI to ease liquidity were adequate and feels they have yielded some positive impact. He said that it is too early to comment on further rate cuts.

Here is a transcript of D Subbarao's comments in a press conference

On RBI monetary policy
I think the monetary policy measures that we have taken have resulted in some positive outcome. As we had said in the policy statement on Saturday, all the measures of liquidity are appropriate. We reduced repo rate and the reverse repo rate on Saturday and we expect banks to respond to that and cut their lending rates and keep credit flowing for productive sectors.
On Inflation
We make our next review of the policy variables, our projections of core inflation when we make quarterly policy view which is slated for January 27. Certainly the developments will reflect in our assessment.
The Governor after the RBI's central board meet also announced a Rs 9000 crore line of credit to the National Housing Bank or NHB and the Exim bank to revive the housing and export sectors.
He said that a refinance facility of Rs 4000 crore for NHB and Rs 5000 crore facility for Exim bank will be extended at the repo rate of 6.5%.

MARKET EXAM

Every day and in every trade, the market gives us an examination. The results are unforgiving. Get the examination question correct and the market gives you money. Get the examination question incorrect and the market takes money from you. Every trading decision to buy, or sell, or just observe is a test of all the skills and knowledge and experience you have accumulated. Unlike on-the-job training, the market gives you no latitude for error, for past successes, or experience. Every test is for real, and every test pass or fail carries the same consequences. It is a demanding task. Over ten weeks we give you a less demanding test – at least in terms of consequences. These questions are designed to help you to evaluate your knowledge about trading and help to identify areas where you may needs to do some more homework.

Sensex breaches 10K, no bottom in sight

It was an absolutely dismal close to this week. The worse nightmare is in, we are in four digits now for the Sensex, the psychological level of 10,000 has been broken for the first time since July 2006 marking a new low for 2008, a multi year low actually and even the Nifty has plunged below its leaning support level of 3,100. So whichever way you look at it, the lows are not holding, fresh lows have happened this week and psychologically important levels have got broken up. 10,000 may just be a level but it makes a lot of difference to see the Sensex at four digits after seeing it at 21,000 just a few months back. So, this bear market is in full flow right now. There are no signs of a bottom yet and we are crumbling with every passing day.

We had a big sell off on Friday and that was led by the power sector with stocks like NTPC, Reliance Infra, Suzlon, Siemens, BHEL, L&T all of them are breaking down. ICICI Bank took a huge knock, Unitech and DLF continue their bottom less fall and other largecap names like Reliance have got hammered up with not too many places to hide, the breadth on Friday has also been quite bad as well.

Crude, monsoon hold key to mkts rally now

I feels that the markets have seen some momentum despite the weakness in the US. There is a large build up in stock futures, which is positive for sentiment.I thinks that the monsoon remains a worry but crude is the biggest risk. One can see further rally if crude falls and monsoon improves.

Seven Ways To Survive a Stock Market Correction!

Here are seven simple ways to survive a stock market correction as an investor:
1. Stop Listening To Analysts
Most analysts in the media instead of providing you with a solution will just confuse you. Somebody will say everything is doomed while others will say things are great in the long term. Forget listening to analysts- most of them would not be of any help. The reason people listen to analysts is because they are looking for peace and hope. Trust me you will get none of that by listening to somebody else. Peace and hope are all within you
.2. Stop Staring At Your Portfolio Every Thirty Minutes
Another mistake people make is that they get up every morning and wait for the markets to open. Once markets open they start staring at their stock prices. A fall makes you feel worse and small rise makes you feel a little better. This would not help either. Instead keep track of the fundamentals of your company every time the results are out. If your company is profitable and growing - be happy. If it is not, find out if you need to exit. The stock price will catch up in the near future if business is growing. Do you stare at your money kept in a bank FD everyday? Most probably not. Use the same principle when you invest in stocks or mutual funds.
3. Be Patient
Many of you might not have a lot of cash to buy cheap now; however please be patient with whatever you have bought. Even the youngest billionaire on Earth today is 23 years old. It took him 23 years to be a billionaire and he did not do it in few days or weeks. The youngest billionaire probably in history is 23-year-old Mark Zuckerberg - the founder of the social networking site-Facebook.
4. Speak To Actual Investors
With ExperienceInstead of interacting with analysts or your broker, speak with people who are actual investors and who have been in the market for longer periods of time than you. They will tell you how they have survived various stock market corrections and what has made them richer. Read and learn more about people who have actually created wealth and sustained it over a long period of time.5. Stop Following Crazy TipsPlease for heavens sake stop following â hot tips which promise to make you a millionaire in a matter of months. Maybe the hot tip is only meant for billionaires who would end up as millionaires in case they do follow the tip. If it seems to good to be true, it is probably just a scam, which hopes to take money away from retail investors and put them in the hands of greedy manipulators. Similarly stop following rumours about how fundamentally strong companies are going to be shut down and go bankrupt in the next few months. Use your own head and trust yourself. 6. Understand Market Cycles
Every asset class has a cycle. Stock markets, mutual funds, real estate all move in cycles. Please realize that nothing can keep going up forever in a single direction. There will be phases when prices will come down and again move up. If you go back into history you will see several instances when stock prices came down, however over a period of time quality companies always reward investors. Understand market cycles, and dont become a slave to them.
7. Follow The GuruToday the richest man on earth, Warren Buffett, is an investor who has created wealth because he has stayed away from what everybody else is doing and has simply invested in quality companies for the long term. He invested in Gillette, for the simple reason that he believed that men wont stop shaving. It makes sense to follow, as I call him, â The Guru and think long term and remember people who create wealth do things that others dont.I âm sure if you follow the simple techniques above you will be a much happier and a calmer investor. Investing is about controlling your emotions and being disciplined about what you do.
Happy Wealth Creation!
jestin xavier

11. Monitor your portfolio

Investing in equity is not a one time affair. Buying shares is perhaps the smallest part of the overall investment activity. It is important to periodically monitor and review your investment portfolio. It is always prudent to sell a stock if you feel that the fundamentals have deteriorated and the stock is overpriced in comparison to its fair value. Money has an opportunity cost and by selling an overvalued stock you can investment the same money elsewhere, for better capital appreciation opportunities.

10.Invest regularly and gradually build up your position

Just as you put money into fixed interest bearing investments regularly, also invest in equities on a periodic basis. Further, do not invest at one go. Rather, buy on a regular basis and in small lots. This will help you to buy stocks at a reasonable price.

9. Do not marry a stock

If you feel your investment decision has gone wrong, exit the counter; don’t try to average. It is prudent to cut losses, rather than lower the average purchase price. Particularly in cases where the stock is witnessing a continuous sell-off, it is better to offload your position and book losses. You can use the same money to invest in other opportunities.

8.Do not borrow money to invest in equities

It is true that equities tend to outperform other investment avenues in the long run. However, there is no guarantee that you will make money on your stocks either in terms of dividends or capital gains, if your sale of shares is time-bound. Therefore, if you borrow funds to invest in equities, it might be difficult for you to repay the interest or principal on the loan, on time. What really matters in equity investment is your withholding power. So, invest your surplus money in equities and only invest an amount that you will not need in the immediate future. If you borrow and invest, your withholding power to stay invested for the long term could be limited.

7.Don't sell in panic

Markets go through cycles of boom and bust and volatility is a way of life in equities. Do not sell your holdings in a hurry and panic just because your stocks have witnessed a sudden correction. Always focus on company fundamentals; if they are intact, there’s nothing to worry about.

6. Buy shares of companies whose business you understand

In the long run, the stock market rewards companies with strong fundamentals and good financial performance. Therefore, it is essential for you to invest in companies whose industry dynamics and business models you understand. This will help you to gauge whether a transformation in an industry is positive or negative, at an early stage itself, and its likely impact on the company’s fundamentals. Your understanding of industry dynamics would help you to evaluate industry trends.

5.Do not buy on tips or rumors focus on fundamentals

Tips and rumors are an integral part of the stock market. Always remember that these could be engineered by a group of traders or punters. Therefore, a sharp rally based on rumors could fizzle out in a short time. You should strictly stay away from rumors, suggestions or tips received from your broker or friends or the investor circle. Investments based on tips could lead to huge losses. Rather, you would be better off investing based on industry and company fundamentals. Furthermore, generally such tips pertain to small and mid cap stocks, where liquidity is extremely limited. If you invest in such stocks, you could get trapped in an illiquid investment for a very long time.

4.Portfolio diversification

Diversion is a very old and popular investment strategy, applied to reduce portfolio risk. Actually, before you start investing in equities, you should consider various factors like your age, monetary requirements, etc, to determine how much risk you can take on. For instance, if you are around 30 years old, you can invest a greater portion of your portfolio in equities than a retired person. Once you have determined how much risk you can take on and how much you can invest regularly in equities, try to achieve diversification in your portfolio. To reduce risk, diversify within equities by investing across sectors. Do not invest in one or two sectors or any negative development pertaining to those sectors could severely impact the profitability of your portfolio. Secondly, ensure a good blend of small, mid and large-cap stocks in your portfolio. While large cap stocks would lend stability to your portfolio, small and mid cap stocks would give you an above average appreciation. Basically, growth potentials are higher in the case of small and mid cap stocks. Thus, just having large cap stocks could be safe but also mean that returns are just about at the same level as market returns. Thirdly, invest across value and growth stocks. Growth stocks are risky but also offer higher returns while value stocks are likely to be less volatile. In brief, when you spread your investments over a larger number of stocks and sectors, if a few stocks/sectors under-perform, this is compensated by other stocks/sectors which perform well.

3.Pay the right price

It is essential to buy at the ‘right price’, that is, the price that you are comfortable paying. Do not buy because others are doing so. This will help you to hold the stock for a longer duration. Conversely, when you have to decide when to sell, if you feel that the market is overheated and prices have reached unrealistic levels, exit; Don’t stick on hoping for a little more. It helps to limit your own greed.

2. Invest time and efforts in doing your homework

Investing in equities is not a one time affair. You need to invest a lot of time and efforts, apart from money, to understand industries, economic trends and so on. Further, you should dedicate time to analyse companies, as this will help you to avoid costly mistakes. You need to develop the habit of reading first hand information - such as company annual reports, company announcements and so on. Annual reports of large companies are easily available on the web. Reading business dailies is also a must for equity investors. Get your basic concepts and fundamentals right. Revisiting financial fundamentals periodically would be a good idea. You need to understand basic concepts like the Price-Earning ratio (P/E ratio), operating margins, earnings per share, etc. Analysing balance sheets and profit and loss accounts is a must. A short term course on ratio analysis would be of immense help. Further, understand technicalities of investment, like how the stock market operates, how to buy or sell, settlement procedures, etc. Also focus on domestic economic and policy development. These factors are also of immense importance as they lead to structural changes in the economy that would benefit certain industries. For instance, the boom in the telecom sector in the domestic market is driven by government policy initiatives over the years. Lastly, you also need to keep yourself abreast with key global developments. With liberalisation and subsequent integration of economies, global factors also impact domestic industries and the stock market. The stock market is said to be all about sentiments. However, in this mad rush you need to stay focused and maintain a lot of discipline in executing your investment strategy. Thus, irrespective of which way the market moves, you need to stick to your investment strategy without getting swayed by market sentiments. In short, discipline in your investment approach will protect you from the herd mentality. Most investors are tempted to buy when everyone is on a buying binge and sell when the market is moving southwards. But if you have decided as a rule to buy a particular stock only when the overall market corrects by one per cent, this rule could kill your temptation to jump on the stock when the market is overheated.

1. Be a long term investor

This is the first and most important rule of equity investment. Timing the market - entering the market at low levels and exiting at higher levels - is almost impossible. Though often heard on the street, this strategy is difficult to implement, as it is nearly impossible to gauge when the market has peaked and when it has bottomed out. Do not play the guessing game; it is more sensible to put money into the market with a long term commitment. Trading or speculating seldom helps in equities. You could make quick bucks by trading in 10 deals, but you could lose whatever you have earned in just one deal. This is the risk you take when you try to trade and make easy money from the stock market. Apart from incurring financial losses, it also involves a lot of mental stress. Trading could give you sleepless nights. Globally, economies follow seven year business cycles of boom and bust. Thus, when you are investing, invest for a fairly long term, say three to seven years. Indeed, it is a proven fact that over the long haul, equities tend to outperform all other asset classes.